Weekly Economic Update for the Week of May 17, 2010

Gold soars, euro slips, rumors plague EU. Wall Street watched Europe closely last week; investors initially loved the almost-trillion-dollar debt rescue plan from the International Monetary Fund and the European Union, but then wondered if its austerity measures would slow growth. The euro hit an 18-month low Friday as rumors floated that certain EU nations might ditch the currency. Gold, meanwhile, settled at $1,227.80 an ounce Friday – prices are up about 16% since early February.^1,2

Retail sales up 0.4% in April. This marks seven consecutive months of gains. Additionally, the Census Bureau said April 2010 retail sales figures were 8.8% improved from April 2009.³

Reuters: a gain in consumer sentiment. In May’s preliminary Reuters/University of Michigan poll, the index read 73.3, better than April’s 72.2. The survey’s one-year inflation expectations index read 3.1%, the highest mark in 11 months.⁴

Industrial output on the rise. On Friday, the Federal Reserve noted a 0.8% gain in industrial production for April. This follows up a 0.2% advance recorded in March.³

Up, down … up, down … and finally, up. Big swings ruled the market last week – but make no mistake, it was a winning week for equities. At the Friday close, the Dow stood at 10,620.16 after a 2.31% advance across five trading days. Last week, the NASDAQ rose 3.58% while the S&P 500 gained 2.23%. The Russell 2000 gained 6.28% last week.⁵

% Change	Y-T-D	1-Yr Chg	5-Yr Avg	10-Yr Avg
DJIA	+1.84	+27.47	+0.95	-0.17
NASDAQ	+3.42	+38.93	+3.74	-3.49
S&P 500	+1.85	+27.17	-0.32	-2.18
Real Yield	5/14	1 Yr Ago	5 Yrs Ago	10 Yrs Ago
10YrTIPS	1.26%	1.68%	1.66%	4.34%

(Source: CNBC.com, BigCharts.com, ustreas.gov, bls.gov, 5/14/10)^5,6,7,8

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be

invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.

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This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc, and does not necessarily represent the views of Statler Financial Services, Inc. This information should not be construed as investment advice. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx^®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world’s largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. http://www.montoyaregistry.com http://www.petermontoya.com

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Citations.

1 – nytimes.com/2010/05/15/business/15markets.html?src=me [5/14/10]

2 – online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20100514-713372.html?mod=WSJ_latestheadlines [5/14/10]

3 – npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way/2010/05/retail_sales_rose_04_last_mont.html [5/14/10]

4 – cnbc.com/id/37148851/ [5/14/10]

5 – cnbc.com/id/37155847 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=5%2F14%2F09&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=5%2F14%2F09&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=5%2F14%2F09&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=5%2F13%2F05&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=5%2F13%2F05&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=5%2F13%2F05&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=DJIA&close_date=5%2F15%2F00&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=COMP&close_date=5%2F15%2F00&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

6 – bigcharts.marketwatch.com/historical/default.asp?detect=1&symbol=SPX&close_date=5%2F15%2F00&x=0&y=0 [5/14/10]

7 – ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield.shtml [5/14/10]

7 – ustreas.gov/offices/domestic-finance/debt-management/interest-rate/real_yield_historical.shtml [5/14/10]

8 – treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/preanre/2000/ofm11200.pdf [1/12/00]